Based on discussions at DesignCon 2016 and since, I have three predictions about major changes ahead for high speed serial link systems.
Roll out of 28 Gbps systems will be slower than expected.
I hear that the semiconductor companies producing the CMOS devices—ASIC, FPGA or custom—are doing fine producing the silicon with acceptable performance at 28 Gbps. Figure 1 is an example of a very clean eye from a 28 Gbps TX (transmitter).
I hear that the semiconductor companies producing the CMOS devices—ASIC, FPGA or custom—are doing fine producing the silicon with acceptable performance at 28 Gbps. Figure 1 is an example of a very clean eye from a 28 Gbps TX (transmitter).

Figure 1. Today's silicon can product clean signals at 28 Gbps, at least at the transmit end.
Semiconductor manufacturers' ability to sell to end users designing and manufacturing systems operating with 28 Gbps links is, however, limited by the their ability to support these customers.
A link operating at 28 Gbps, NRZ (non-return-to-zero), has to be designed with everything working almost perfectly. This data rate pushes the limits such as: low Df materials, smoother copper, wide enough lines, equalization tuned to the limit of recovering -25 dB of insertion loss, minimal reflections, via stubs shorter than 15 mils, channel-to-channel cross talk less than -50 dB, and line-to-line skew less than 6 ps over as long as 20 in.
By themselves, each item is possible to engineer, but all of them at the same time in the same channel requires solid engineering and analysis. Not every design team is capable of this task. When the channel does not work, who do they call? The silicon provider.
I hear that with a limited number of experienced support application engineers, the silicon providers are focusing on their large, high-end OEM customers and are limiting their sales based on which customers they have the resources to support. This may be a business opportunity for consulting engineering teams to work with silicon providers to support their customers and increase the design wins and sales of 28 Gbps capable silicon.
There is a potential roadblock ahead for 56 Gbps PAM4 systems.
A number of channels have been demonstrated operating at 56 Gbps with PAM4. The picks and shovels needed for PAM4 systems are in place. Most of the high-end software vendors have shown design tools for simulating PAM4. All the high-end oscilloscope and BERT (bit-error-rate tester) manufacturers have shown instruments able to measure and characterize PAM4 systems.Figure 2 shows the measured eye for a 56 Gbps PAM4 link.
A number of channels have been demonstrated operating at 56 Gbps with PAM4. The picks and shovels needed for PAM4 systems are in place. Most of the high-end software vendors have shown design tools for simulating PAM4. All the high-end oscilloscope and BERT (bit-error-rate tester) manufacturers have shown instruments able to measure and characterize PAM4 systems.Figure 2 shows the measured eye for a 56 Gbps PAM4 link.

Figure 2. At the transmitter, a PAM4 signal is clean enough for all three eyes to be visible.
It's widely believed that the advantage of going to PAM4 for 56 Gbps is so that we are only dealing with signals with an equivalent bandwidth of 28 Gbps signals. If we can design a channel for 28 Gbps at PAM2, we should be able to design one for 56 Gbps at PAM4.
Not so fast, for there is one significant difference with PAM4. By dividing up the signal into three levels plus zero, we dropped the signal level for one bit by 1/3. The signal voltage level we have to measure is smaller. If we need a particular SNR (signal-to-noise ratio) at the receiver for an NRZ-PAM2 signal, and the signal level dropped by 10 dB, the acceptable noise level has to drop by 10 dB in PAM4. But wait, we're not done.
In NRZ-PAM2, we need about -50 dB isolation between a channel and all other aggressors for a SNR of 20 dB. With a lower noise floor required in PAM4, this means an isolation of –60 dB. When it comes to cross talk, we still have high level signals corresponding to the fourth bit level sometimes coming out of the TX. This means the signal on the aggressor can be 3x higher than the signal of the second bit. To keep the same noise on the victim line when the aggressor has 10 dB higher strength, we need another 10 dB more isolation. This means an isolation of as low as -70 dB between the victim channel and all other aggressor channels.
I hear that the weak link in achieving this low level of isolation is in the via field under the BGA. At this low level of crosstalk required, issues such as differential to differential coupling in the via field under the BGA and common noise to differential noise conversion in all via fields, in connectors and in channel to channel cross talk, can be showstoppers. While it may be possible, with good engineering practices and optimized pad stack design to reduce cross talk to the -50 dB level, getting to -70 dB is a major engineering effort.
At this level, as well designed as a via area is, manufacturing variations in the fabricated board can push a system into too much cross talk.
There are some fundamental limitations to what can be done at the board level if the package footprint is poorly designed. This puts a larger burden on the silicon providers to design the package footprint with channel to channel cross talk at the board level via field in mind. This does not play to their strengths.
While getting one channel operating at 56 Gbps PAM4 is possible, getting hundreds of channels operating, in close proximity, at acceptable bit error ratio, maybe require heroic efforts.
All is not doom and gloom
I did hear of one innovation that may be the savior for high-speed serial links in copper-based interconnects. Given the increasing challenges to get a long channel operating at 28 Gbps in PAM2-NRZ or a 56 Gbps channel operating at PAM4, there may be an intermediate fix available. Every large connector company I spoke with has a practical plan to implement cabled interconnects integrated with the board to supplement laminated backplane and motherboard routing.
I did hear of one innovation that may be the savior for high-speed serial links in copper-based interconnects. Given the increasing challenges to get a long channel operating at 28 Gbps in PAM2-NRZ or a 56 Gbps channel operating at PAM4, there may be an intermediate fix available. Every large connector company I spoke with has a practical plan to implement cabled interconnects integrated with the board to supplement laminated backplane and motherboard routing.
The advantage of a cabled system is lower loss and less channel-to-channel cross talk. The larger circumference in the round conductors means lower conductor loss per length in a cable than on a board. While there may be lower cross talk in the cable interconnects, the cross talk in the connector and its board footprint still needs to be considered, but many of the connector companies seem very good at this.
These solutions involve a connector system to mate between the board and an array of cables and back to the board. The idea is to route long distance, high bandwidth signals off the board, through cables and then back to the board. Figure 3 shows an example: the Firefly product from Samtec. A nice feature of the Samtec system is the integration of optical cables as well as copper cables to ease the transition to board-level optical interconnects.

Figure 3. Samtec's Firefly interconnect system merges optical and electrical connections to improve signal integrity.
This sort of approach, with a much lower loss at 14 GHz and 28 GHz, maybe the short-term fix to enable both a robust 56 Gbps (28 Gbaud) PAM4 or an PAM2-NRZ 56 Gbps system without the headaches of extremely high isolation requirements of a PAM4 system.
This sort of backplane architecture moves the interconnect roadmap onto a different trajectory and may give additional headroom to copper interconnects into the next generation of data rates. With the option of also including fiber optics, it may be the “gateway drug” into the long touted optical backplane architecture of the future.
Editor:Eric Bogatin
添加评论